Fact evidence: In late October 2018, Israels prime minister Netanyahu visited Oman under friendly terms. Not long after, following this, Trump said that ”Saudi-Arabia is on the clock”. Unfortunately I can no longer find the source to the Saudi-Arabia-is-on-the-clock statement, but I distinctly remember it word for word.
Very interresting. Much in the link below is news to mee. But I don’t expect that Oman will cave in to Israel! Israelis cannot project the necessary power in the Strait of Hormuz region to be able to do that. If Oman will cave in they will do it because the guy in the background is putting pressure on the country. I am of course talking about Trump.
And speaking about Saudi-Arabia. The United States is starting to export more goods than they receive oil in the other direction. The amount of oil the US receive from Saudi-Arabia is down 1/3 since 2015 while the exports to the country stays the same. So you probably have to look for the explanation there. The US has no interrest in sustaining the state of Saudi-Arabia if they don’t get to import their oil. The number 1/3 comes from the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK 2015 compared with the numbers in the CIA WORLD FACTBOOK 2018-2019.
And also, if the Americans get the opportunity to navigate close to the East part of Oman at the tip by the Strait of Hormuz with their warships they could perhaps avoid apparent detection by the Iranian’s land based radar systems in the Strait of Hormuz. This because of the earths curvature which makes it possible for large ships like an Aircraft carrier to hide in radar shadow under the radars sight of horizon just some 60 km i.e. 37 miles from the enemy ground radar. It’s just a hypothesis. Maybe they are doing it already?
This doesn’t mean that Saudi-Arabia will become a military target. It is much more likely that Iran will become a military target. But I think we can expect that the US will strive to put pressure on especially the Saudis to not cut back any more on the oil sales to the US and preferrably increase the oil sales quota to the US. They hope to accomplish this by projecting more power against the Iranians and by dwarfing the Chinese influence in the region and, hopefully, in the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean.
This dwarfing of the chinese Navy in the Arabian Sea can be done by confining the Chinese Navy within the South China Sea. As long as America has the ability to project power at sea more than China has, the US can decide the rules of the game. But the difference between the streangth of the American Navy and the Chinese Navy on the other hand, is more than anything revolving around America’s Aircraft carrier groups superiority in number and capacity that dwarf the Chinese number and capacity.
China has an airbase at Gwadar in western Pakistan near by the Arabian Sea. If China can continue to build airbases in foreign countries in the region, then America’s superiority with their aircraft carrier groups will dwindle ever so much in actual capacity compared to the Chinese.
Roger M. Klang, Defense political Spokesman for the Christian Values Party (Kristna Värdepartiet) in Sweden